Kirk

[Tropical Inspector]

Monday Afternoon Update
Kirk strengthening

Kirk is strengthening in the deep tropics and has a large area of of convection associated with it. Banding is beginning to take shape and it is expected to become a hurricane by tomorrow.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 35.7W
ABOUT 800 MI...1285 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAMMB / CIRA Slider Monday Afternoon


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Kirk is expected move move generally NW then slowly turn NNW into this weekend in the open water of the Atlantic. It is expected to become a major hurricane.

[Tropical Inspector]

Tuesday Evening Update
Kirk strengthening

Satellite imagery shows excellent outflow aloft indicating that strengthening will continue.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 40.1W
ABOUT 1070 MI...1720 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAMMB / CIRA Slider Tuesday Morning


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Kirk is expected move move generally NW then slowly turn NNW into this weekend in the open water of the Atlantic. It is expected to become a major hurricane.

[Tropical Inspector]

Wednesday Morning Update
Shear briefly increased

Satellite imagery this morning shows that shear briefly nearly exposed the southern edge of the circulation. In addition, a burst of dry air also disrupted the circulation for several hours. At this time both episodes appear to be ending and a continued strengthening trend is about to begin.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 42.1W
ABOUT 1200 MI...1930 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1280 MI...2060 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAMMB / CIRA Slider Wednesday Morning


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Kirk is expected move move generally NW then slowly turn north into this weekend in the open water of the Atlantic. It is expected to become a major hurricane.

[Tropical Inspector]

Thursday Afternoon Update
Kirk is a major hurricane

Satellite imagery shows Kirk to be a very well developed hurricane. It has an impressive eye structure and may strengthen a bit more.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 46.7W
ABOUT 1085 MI...1745 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1655 MI...2665 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAMMB / CIRA Slider Thursday Afternoon


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Kirk is expected move move generally north then slowly turn northeast after this weekend in the open water of the North Atlantic. It will move well east of Bermuda.

[Tropical Inspector]

Friday Afternoon Update
Kirk strong remains strong

Overall there has not been much change in strength since yesterday. Kirk remains a classic major hurricane in the open middle North Atlantic.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.7N 49.4W
ABOUT 960 MI...1545 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1645 MI...2650 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAMMB / CIRA Slider Friday Afternoon


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Kirk is expected move move generally north then slowly turn northeast after this weekend in the open water of the North Atlantic. It will move well east of Bermuda.

[Tropical Inspector]

Saturday Morning Update
Kirk is slowly weakening

IR imagery indicates a bit of a weakness in the northwestern part of the eyewall this morning. Visible imagery in addition shows that the eye has clouded over. Both are indications that Kirk is gradually, but steadily losing strength as it moves away from the deep tropics.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 50.2W
ABOUT 990 MI...1595 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1575 MI...2535 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAMMB / CIRA Slider Saturday Morning


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Kirk will continue to weaken as it moves north, then northeast into the northern North Atlantic becoming extratropical in a few days. It is expected to impact western Europe as a gale into the middle of next week.

[Tropical Inspector]

Sunday Morning Update
Kirk continues to slowly weaken

Kirk continues its trend to slowly weaken. It large size and strong winds from a few days ago is generating large swell that will affect / is affecting the east coast of the Bermuda islands and eastern US coast into SE Canada. Satellite imagery still shows significant deep convection associated with the central dense overcast.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 49.0W
ABOUT 1270 MI...2040 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES


Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAMMB / CIRA Slider Sunday Morning


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Kirk will continue to weaken as it moves northeast into the northern North Atlantic becoming extratropical during the next day or two. It is expected to impact western Europe as a gale into the middle of this week.

[Tropical Inspector]

Monday Morning Update
Kirk has become extratropical


Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAMMB / CIRA Slider Monday Morning