Beryl

[Tropical Inspector]

Saturday Morning Update

Beryl has solid core

Beryl was classified Friday and has increased in structure appearance. It is at a fairly low latitude and will affect Barbados and other Windward Islands later Sunday which many times escape the worst effects of tropical cyclones.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.8N 45.5W
ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl is forecast to track near Barbados by Sunday night and other Windward islands before moving into the eastern Caribbean. It is forecast to become a hurricane.

[Tropical Inspector]

Saturday Afternoon Update
Beryl strengthening

Beryl remains at a fairly low latitude and will affect Barbados and other Windward Islands later Sunday into Monday. Strong winds, storm surge and flash flooding are expected in the path of Beryl.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.0N 48.4W
ABOUT 785 MI...1260 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl is forecast to track near Barbados by Sunday night and other Windward islands before moving into the eastern Caribbean. It is forecast to become a hurricane, possibly a major one.

Those living in the Windwards / Barbados or planning to visit should follow Beryl closely and take any necessary precautions.

[Tropical Inspector]

Sunday Morning Update
Beryl rapidly strengthening

Beryl has develped an eye which is cloud covered. It also has banding and a solid central dense overcast. This should allow for significant strengthening before approaching Barbados and the Windward Islands. This is unusual to see a hurricane approach the Lesser Antilles at this low a latitude.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.7N 53.1W
ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl is forecast to track near Barbados and other Windward islands tonight into Monday before moving into the eastern Caribbean.

Those living in the Windwards / Barbados or planning to visit should finish preparations / change itinerary soon. Damaging winds, storm surge and flash flooding will be seen in the path of Beryl.

[Tropical Inspector]

Sunday Afternoon Update
Beryl continues to rapidly strengthen

Beryl now has banding to the west and south with a strong, but somewhat smaller central dense overcast. This is where the strongest winds are located in the eyewall. This is unusual to see a hurricane approach the Lesser Antilles at this low a latitude.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.9N 55.6W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl is forecast to track south Barbados tonight...and across the northern and central Windward islands later tonight into Monday before moving into the eastern Caribbean. Effects from Beryl will be seen from the southern Leewards, through the Windwards and even on the northern coast of South America.

Those in the Windwards / Barbados should finish preparations now. Damaging winds, storm surge and flash flooding will be seen in the path of Beryl.

[Tropical Inspector]

Sunday Night Update
Beryl approaching the Windwards

IR satellite imagery shows that the eyewall remains intact and the the deepest convection is on the east eyewall. An outer rainband is now moving across Barbados.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.2N 57.3W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 260 MI...480 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES

Tropicast: IR satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl is forecast to track south of Barbados tonight...and across the Windward islands later tonight into Monday before moving into the eastern Caribbean. Effects from Beryl will be seen from the southern Leewards, through the Windwards and even on the northern coast of South America. At this time it appears that the area from St. Vincent and the Grenadines south to Grenada will experience the strongest effects.

Damaging winds, storm surge and flash flooding will be seen in the path of Beryl.

[Tropical Inspector]

Monday Morning Update
Beryl south of Barbados moving toward the Windwards this morning

IR satellite imagery shows that the eyewall is producing a burst of deeper convection as eyewall temps cool. At the same time the eye is beginning to cloud over again.

The Weather Situation
LOCATION...11.7N 59.9W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ESE OF GRENADA
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SE OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES

Tropicast: IR satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Effects from Beryl will be seen today from the southern Leewards, through the Windwards and even on the northern coast of South America. The area from St. Vincent and the Grenadines south to Grenada will experience the strongest effects.

Damaging winds, storm surge and flash flooding will be seen in the path of Beryl.

[Tropical Inspector]

Monday Evening Update
Beryl has moved away from the Lesser Antilles

Beryl is moving toward the central Caribbean as its effects pull away from the Lesser Antilles.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.2N 63.2W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM NW OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...944 MB...27.88 INCHES

Tropicast: IR satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl is moving toward the central Caribbean and will pass near or south of Jamaica on Wednesday before continuing WNW toward the Yucatan by later this week. Gradual weakening is anticipated, but Beryl should be followed carefully as it likely will retain hurricane strength.

[Tropical Inspector]

Tuesday Early Morning Update
Beryl reaches cat 5

Overnight Hurricane Hunter aircraft have found winds supporting category 5 strength for Beryl. It has a classic "buzzsaw" appearance on satellite imagery. The central dense overcast (CDO) is well developed and extensive with very deep convection. Currently Beryl is not affecting land directly except for a few rainbands well north near Puerto Rico.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.6N 66.9W
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SE OF ISLA BEATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES

Tropicast: IR satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl is moving toward the central Caribbean and will pass near or south of Jamaica on Wednesday before continuing WNW toward the Yucatan by later this week. Gradual weakening is anticipated, but Beryl should be followed carefully as it likely will retain hurricane strength - possibly still as a major hurricane - as in nears Jamaica Wednesday.

All hurricane preparations in Jamaica should be completed TODAY.

[Tropical Inspector]

Tuesday Afternoon Update
Beryl slowly weakening, still cat 4

Beryl is slowly starting to weaken, but remains a dangerous category 4 hurricane. Beryl will begin to fight wind shear which will start disrupting the structure and facilitate weakening.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 69.9W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF ISLA BEATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible satellite Tuesday Morning


Tropicast: Visible satellite Tuesday Afternoon


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl is moving toward the central Caribbean and will pass near or south of Jamaica on Wednesday before continuing WNW toward the Yucatan by later this week. Gradual weakening is anticipated, but Beryl should be followed carefully as it likely will retain hurricane strength - possibly still as a major hurricane - as in nears Jamaica Wednesday.

All hurricane preparations in Jamaica should be completed TODAY.

[Tropical Inspector]

Tuesday Night Update
Beryl shows little change

Beryl has remained nearly constant in strength the last several hours. Satellite imagery shows that the eyewall is still strong with very deep convection. Heavy rainfall is over Hispaniola (Haiti and the Dominican Republic). Flash flooding is likely occurring now. Jamaica will see storm surge, flash flooding from heavy rainfall and strong damaging winds.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 71.7W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

Tropicast: IR Satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl will pass near Jamaica on Wednesday. It will then track close to the Cayman Islands late Wednesday evening before continuing WNW toward the Yucatan by late Thursday evening.

All hurricane preparations in the Caymans should be completed by early Wednesday.

[Tropical Inspector]

Wednesday Morning Update
Beryl approaching Jamaica

Beryl still has changed little in intensity from overnight. Jamaica will soon see increasing winds, storm surge and very heavy rainfall.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 75.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM ESE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl will pass near Jamaica by around midday then track close to the Cayman Islands late this evening before continuing WNW toward the Yucatan by late Thursday evening.

All hurricane preparations in the Caymans should be completed by early Wednesday.

[Tropical Inspector]

Wednesday Late Afternoon Update
Beryl south of Jamaica

Beryl is moving just south of the Jamaican southern coast. The eye is beginning to become visible again and the northern eyewall is on the southern coast. This will continue to place the highest surge and strongest winds in this area. Hurricane Hunter reports show that winds are slowly weakening as pressure rises.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 77.6W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM WSW OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM ESE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES

Tropicast: IR Satellite


Tropicast: Visible Satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl will track close to the Cayman Islands late this evening before continuing WNW toward the Yucatan by late Thursday evening. Grand Cayman will be closest to the eyewall as the hurricane passes. Beryl is expected to cross the Yucatan Thursday night and into the Bay of Campeche Friday night into Saturday.

[Tropical Inspector]

Thursday Morning Update
Beryl near the Cayman Islands

Beryl still has very deep convection near its core , but looks considerably weaker than yesterday with no eye visible on the IR imagery. It is passing south of Grand Cayman with the other Cayman Islands being removed from the worst effects of Beryl. The most recent Hurricane Hunter aircraft pass indicated winds to about 120 mph aloft which would translate to about 105-110 mph at the surface. IMO Beryl is no longer a major hurricane.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 81.0W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM ESE OF TULUM MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES

Tropicast: IR Satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl continues to slowly, but steadily weaken. Beryl will approach the eastern Yucatan this evening, crossing the Yucatan Thursday night and Friday. It will move into the Bay of Campeche Friday night into Saturday and Sunday. Landfall will then again occur on the northeastern Mexico / extreme southern Texas coasts Sunday night.

[Tropical Inspector]

Thursday Evening Update
Beryl headed to the Yucatan

Beryl's eye is still cloud covered, but eyewall convection remains deep. The strongest convection is currently west of the center. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is curently investigating, but has not reached the strongest part of the hurricane yet. We suspect that the winds may be a little lower than the previous mission.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 84.8W
ABOUT 180 MI...295 KM ESE OF TULUM MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl will make landfall on the eastern Yucatan this evening near Cozumel. It will then cross the Yucatan tonight and Friday. It will move into the Bay of Campeche Friday night into Saturday and Sunday. Landfall will again occur on the northeastern Mexico / extreme southern Texas coasts late Sunday or Sunday night.

[Tropical Inspector]

Friday Morning Update
Beryl making landfall the Yucatan

Beryl has moved a bit slower overnight and this will allow for track adjustments in the future. It passed over Cozumel just a few hours ago with the strongest part of the the eyewall impacting the island. Now with Beryl interacting with land, the eyewall structure has degraded which will cause significant weakening today over the Yucatan peninsula.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 86.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM E OF TULUM MEXICO
ABOUT 780 MI...1250 KM ESE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beryl has slowed by several hours, only now making landfall on the Yucatan. It will cross the Yucatan today. It will move into the Bay of Campeche later tonight into Saturday and Sunday. Landfall will again occur on the southern Texas coast Sunday night.