T.D. 1 was officially named by NHC on their 11pm edt advisory. We had hinted for several days that this region needed to be watched closely. Upper air winds are still favorable for further strengthening and the depression with likely be named Alma during the morning. The center of circulation in centered near 10.5 N / 86.8 W or just offshore of the west coast of Costa Rica and Nicaragua. Deep convection has now bursted west of the center, so strengthening is likely. The main concern with be for very heavy rain from Costa Rica northward into Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador. The slow motion northward of the system will allow for heavy rainfall totals of 10-20 inches or more over the next several days.
TropicalWeather.net's Tropical Pic
