Saturday Morning Update
Low forming SW of the Florida coast
The low level circulation appears to have formed. Satellite imagery shows a nice low level spin now. Deep convection is not far away, meaning that this system could go from tropical depression to tropical storm strength very quickly. Regardless of the strength with this low, significant amounts of rain is likely across the Big Bend of Florida southward to near Lake Okeechobee.
The Hurricane Center will likely classify this as a tropical depression by this afternoon.
As of 8 am edt the low was centered at 25.4 N / 87.5 W or about 335 miles SW of Tampa, Florida. It was nearly stationary. Top sustained winds estimated at 30 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1003 mb.
Forecast:
Forecasts are still taking the low in many directions in the Gulf. As with yesterday, I still believe that the most likely course will be toward the west central coast of Florida by late Monday or into Tuesday.

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Tropicast: IR Satellite picture
