Thursday Evening Update

TD 22 forms

The Weather Situation
Recon found that the disturbed area of convection had enough of a circulation to be classified.

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Current tropical weather
As of 4:00 PM CDT TD 22 was centered at 21.9 N / 91.4 W or about 330 miles SE of the Mouth of the Rio Grande. It was moving NE 5 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1005 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
TD 22 will meander in the western Gulf of Mexico for a few days. It will drift north, then turn to the west into south Texas.

Tropicast: IR Satellite

Friday Morning Update

TD 22 remains disorganized

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery shows that TD 22 is still trying to organized. It actually appears less organized this morning. Deep convection is well north of the center as it appears to be fighting shear.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 4:00 AM CDT TD 22 was centered at 21.9 N / 91.4 W or about 285 miles SE of the Mouth of the Rio Grande. It was moving NNE 6 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1005 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
TD 22 will move around the western Gulf of Mexico for a few days. It may reach hurricane strength. Steering currently will be weak for a few days so track and strength are more uncertain than usual.

Tropicast: IR Satellite

Beta classified at 40 mph at 4 pm cdt

Saturday Evening Update

Beta not impressive

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery still shows disorganization. IMO, Beta is more like 50-55 mph with the latest recon data.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 7:00 PM CDT Beta was centered at 26.7 N / 92.2 W or about 330 miles ESE of Corpus Christi, TX. It was stationary. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 60 mph. Pressure was estimated at 997 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beta will be slow moving but is now not expected to become a hurricane. It should reach the central Texas coast Monday and slowly move northeast. This will pose a flood risk.

Tropicast: VisibleSatellite

Sunday Morning Update

Beta being sheared

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery this morning shows a lot of dry air to the south and west as well as wind shear affecting Beta. Deep convection remains

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 7:00 AM CDT Beta was centered at 27.1 N / 92.8 W or about 200 miles east of Corpus Christi, TX. It was moving WNW at 3 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 60 mph. Pressure was estimated at 997 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beta will be slow moving but is now not expected to become a hurricane. It should reach the central Texas coast Monday and slowly move northeast. This will pose a flood risk.

Tropicast: VisibleSatellite

Beta remains at 60 mph at 10 am cdt

Monday Morning Update

Beta approaching Texas coast

The Weather Situation
Beta does not look as organized today. It is rather small. The biggest threat will be heavy rainfall of 3-6"

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 7:00 AM CDT Beta was centered at 27.8 N / 95.5 W or about 70 miles SE of Port O'connor, TX. It was moving west at 6 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 50 mph. Pressure was estimated at 996 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beta will be slow moving but is now not expected to become a hurricane. It should reach the central Texas coast Monday and slowly move northeast. This will pose a flood risk.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite SUNDAY Late Afternoon


Tropicast: Radar SUNDAY Late Afternoon


Tropicast: IR Satellite MONDAY AM


Tropicast: Radar MONDAY Morning 8:00 AM CDT

Monday Evening Update

Beta collapsing

The Weather Situation
Beta is collapsing as it moves onto the coast of Texas. Heavy rainfall will be the biggest threat with some localities getting possibly 3-6" Coastal flooding will gradually subside.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 4:00 PM CDT Beta was centered at 28.2 N / 96.1 W or about 25 miles SE of Port O'connor, TX. It was moving northwest at 5 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 45 mph. Pressure was estimated at 999 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beta will crawl along the Texas coast moving northeast over the next few days. The slow motion will allow for heavy rainfall of possibly 3-6".

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Beta is basically on the coast now near Port O'Connor, TX

Tropicast: radar



Tropicast: rainfall estimate

Tuesday Morning Update

Beta inland

The Weather Situation
Beta moved inland last night. The main effect was some coastal flooding and heavy rainfall. About 1-4" fell between Corpus Christi and Houston. A locally heavier amount was noted just west of Houston were 5-8" fell.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 7:00 AM CDT Beta was centered at 28.8 N / 96.8 W or about 10 miles ESE of Victoria, TX. It was moving northwest at 3 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 40 mph. Pressure was estimated at 999 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Beta will crawl along the Texas coast moving northeast over the next few days. The slow motion will allow for additional heavy rainfall.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite


Tropicast: GR Level III Radar Estimate


Tropicast: GR Level III Radar Estimate

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Tropical Depression Beta weakening

The Weather Situation
Beta will continue to spread heavy showers across southeastern Texas into the northern gulf coastal states into Friday. Some rainfall totals could be in excess of 2-4". Beta will become extratropical within the next 24 hours as it moves ENE into Louisiana.