Page 1 of 1

Edouard

Posted: Sat Jul 04, 2020 1:20 pm
by Tropical Inspector
Saturday Afternoon Update

Tropical Depression forms

The Weather Situation
TD 5 is fighting wind shear but may have a window of opportunity to strengthen to a minimal tropical storm.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 11:00 AM AST TD 5 was centered at 31.1 N / 68.7 W or 245 miles WSW of Bermuda. It was moving ENE at 17 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 30 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1009 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecasts take TD5 (eventually Edouard) northeast becoming extratropical in a few days. Bermuda may see breezy conditions and 1-4" of rainfall from the tropical cyclone.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Image

Re: TD5

Posted: Sun Jul 05, 2020 7:16 am
by Tropical Inspector
Sunday Morning Update

TD 5 has passed north of Bermuda

The Weather Situation
TD 5 has passed north of Bermuda. It is still fighting wind shear, but convection remains on the southern flank. It has been raining for several hours over Bermuda with a wind gust earlier to 25 knots.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 5:00 AM AST TD 5 was centered at 33.3 N / 64.9 W or 70 miles north of Bermuda. It was moving NE at 20 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1008 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecasts take TD5 (likely Edouard) northeast becoming extratropical by tomorrow. The only concern is now to shipping as rain / breezes will subside at Bermuda.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Image

Re: TD5

Posted: Sun Jul 05, 2020 7:04 pm
by Tropical Inspector
Sunday Evening Update

Moving out

The Weather Situation
TD 5 is accelerating to the NE and is badly sheared. With that being said, there is a large area of deep convection on the eastern side of the circulation. I am somewhat surprised that TD 5 was not upgraded to a minimal tropical storm.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 5:00 PM AST TD 5 was centered at 35.8 N / 60.5 W or 345 miles NE of Bermuda. It was moving NE at 26 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1009 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecasts take TD5 northeast becoming extratropical by tomorrow. The only concern is now to shipping.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Image

Re: Edouard

Posted: Mon Jul 06, 2020 7:10 am
by Tropical Inspector
Monday Morning Update

Becoming Extratropical

The Weather Situation
Edouard was upgraded to tropical storm strength at 11 pm last night. I tweeted that this was likely a few hours before the update. Deep convection burst on the east side of the circulation last night, enough to be upgraded. Satellite imagery now shows a more extratropical look as it moves over colder water.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 5:00 AM AST Edouard was centered at 39.0 N / 53.6 W or 530 miles south of Cape Race, Newfoundland. It was moving NE at 36 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 40 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1008 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Edouard will become extratropical by late today. The only concern is now to shipping.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Image