Larry

Hurricane / tropical storm forecasts for the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico. Updated as necessary all year.
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Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Wednesday Evening Update

Larry almost a hurricane

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery shows excellent curvature and deep convection near the center of circulation. Larry is well on its way to becoming a hurricane.

Current Tropical Weather

SUMMARY OF 800 PM CVT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 29.4W
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry is expected to become a major hurricane and gradually recurve northwest well northeast of the Leeward islands.

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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Thursday Evening Update

Slow strengthening continues

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery shows slow organization.

Current Tropical Weather

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 35.8W
ABOUT 765 MI...1235 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry is expected to become a major hurricane and gradually recurve northwest well northeast of the Leeward islands.

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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Friday Evening Update

Larry stronger

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery shows an impressive looking structure with Larry. All signs indicated further strengthening.

Current Tropical Weather

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 42.0W
ABOUT 1175 MI...1890 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1320 MI...2125 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry is expected to become a major hurricane and gradually recurve northwest well northeast of the Leeward islands, the impacts to Bermuda are unknown at this time. The time frame of concern would by later next week.

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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Saturday Morning Update

Larry is a cat 3

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery shows continued organization with a very well defined eye.

Current Tropical Weather

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 44.6W
ABOUT 1140 MI...1830 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry will gradually recurve northwest well northeast of the Leeward islands then be in the vicinity of Bermuda by late Wednesday into Thursday. As of now, it is too early to tell if there will be significant impacts. High swell is expected on the eastern shores of the Leeward Islands as well as southern and eastern shores of Bermuda.

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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Sunday Evening Update

Larry still a cat 3

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery shows deep convection not as impressive as yesterday.

Current Tropical Weather
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 50.6W
ABOUT 830 MI...1335 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1195 MI...1925 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry will gradually recurve northwest well northeast of the Leeward islands then move east of Bermuda by Thursday. High swell is being seen on the on the eastern shores of the Leeward Islands as well as southern and eastern shores of Bermuda.

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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Monday Evening Update

Larry holding steady

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery shows little change since yesterday.

Current Tropical Weather
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 53.9W
ABOUT 665 MI...1070 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 950 MI...1530 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry is recurving well northeast of the Leeward islands then will move east of Bermuda by Thursday. High swell is being seen on the eastern shores of the Leeward Islands as well as southern and eastern shores of Bermuda. Large swell will also be seen on the northern shores of the northern Antilles as well.

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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Tuesday Evening Update

Larry still holding steady

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery again shows little change since yesterday. There is a solid central dense overcast circular in dimension.

Current Tropical Weather
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.4N 56.5W
ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry will move east of Bermuda by Thursday. High swell is being seen on the shores of the Antilles as well as Bermuda. Large swell will also be seen on the US and Canadian east coast the middle to later part of this week.

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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Wednesday Midday Update

Larry still holding steady

The Weather Situation
The eye on Larry is no longer discernable as it moves over water that is a little cooler. Larry will transition to an extratropical cyclone by Friday.

Current Tropical Weather
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 58.3W
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry will move east of Bermuda by tomorrow. High swell is being seen on the north shores of the Antilles as well as south and east shores on Bermuda. Large swell will also be seen on the US and Canadian east coast the middle to later part of this week.

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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Thursday Afternoon Update

Larry passing Bermuda

The Weather Situation
Larry is moving comfortably east of Bermuda. Swell continues to be the concern as it passes.

Current Tropical Weather
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.9N 62.0W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry will be heading toward the eastern end of Newfoundland by tomorrow evening. Swell will be calming down the north shores of the Antilles. Large swell will continue over the shores of Bermuda and US and Canadian east coasts to the later part of this week.

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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Friday Late AM Update

Larry southeast of SE Canada

The Weather Situation
Larry still looks formidable and is beginning to transform into an extratropical cyclone as its wind field expands.

Current Tropical Weather
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.0N 60.5W
ABOUT 595 MI...955 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Larry will be heading toward the eastern end of Newfoundland by midnight. It will then become extratropical as it heads south of the southern tip of Greenland.

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Official NHC Advisory / Hazards
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/M ... 447.shtml?

Official NHC Track
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... e#contents
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Re: Larry

Post by Caribbean Traveler »

Tropicast: IR Satellite Friday Night
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Tropicast: Visible Satellite Saturday Morning
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Rich Johnson
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