Sergio

Tropical cyclone archives of the 2018 eastern and central Pacific hurricane season
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Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Tue Oct 02, 2018 5:36 pm

Tuesday Evening Update

Sergio strengthens rapidly

The Weather Situation
Sergio is a major hurricane. At this time no appreciable effects are being felt in western Mexico except for possible larger than normal sea swell.

Current Tropical Weather
As of 2 PM PDT Sergio was centered at 11.2 N / 115.1 W or 875 miles SSW of the southern tip of the Baja. It was moving west at 13 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 115 mph. Pressure was estimated at 965 mb.

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Sergio will move WNW staying well west of Mexico the next several days.


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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Wed Oct 03, 2018 4:13 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Sergio well SW of Mexico

The Weather Situation
Sergio has strengthened some over the past 24 hours, but is well out to sea.

Current Tropical Weather
As of 2 PM PDT Sergio was centered at 13.3 N / 117.9 W or 845 miles SW of the southern tip of the Baja. It was moving NW at 9 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 125 mph. Pressure was estimated at 955 mb.

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Sergio is well SW of Mexico and will not be a threat over the next several days.


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National Hurricane Center Official Advisory
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/M ... 044.shtml?

National Hurricane Center Official Track
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_ep1.s ... e#contents
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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Thu Oct 04, 2018 8:19 pm

Thursday Evening



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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Fri Oct 05, 2018 3:50 pm

Friday Evening

Sergio down to 120 mph. It is expected to make a clockwise turn toward the Baja by late next week. It will be much weaker by that time.

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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Sat Oct 06, 2018 11:54 am

Saturday Afternoon

Sergio at 125 mph. It is expected to make a clockwise turn toward the Baja by late next week. It will be much weaker by that time.

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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Sun Oct 07, 2018 7:41 pm

Sunday Evening

Sergio at 100 mph. It is starting to make a clockwise turn. It will move toward the Baja by late this week. It will be much weaker by that time.

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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Mon Oct 08, 2018 7:39 am

Monday Morning

Sergio is at 90 mph. It is making a clockwise turn and is predicted to be near the central Baja as a tropical storm by Thursday night.

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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Tue Oct 09, 2018 6:58 am

Tuesday Morning update

Sergio is at 85 mph. It has a massive center of circulation and may actually be a bit weaker IMO. It is predicted to be near the central Baja as a tropical storm by Thursday night.

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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Tue Oct 09, 2018 4:18 pm

Tuesday Evening Update

Sergio is at 70 mph. NHC downgraded as expected. It is predicted to be near the central Baja as a tropical storm by Friday.

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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Wed Oct 10, 2018 4:38 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Sergio is at 65 mph. It is predicted to be near the central Baja as a tropical storm by late tomorrow evening.

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Re: Sergio

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Thu Oct 11, 2018 8:07 pm

Thursday Evening Update

Sergio is at 60 mph. It will be moving into the central Baja overnight tonight. Heavy rainfall causing flash flooding is possible.

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