Bonnie

Tropical cyclone archives for the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season

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Bonnie

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Sat May 28, 2016 7:05 am

Saturday Morning Update

TD2 will probably be upgraded today

The Weather Situation
IR satellite imagery shows increased deep convection on the west side of the circulation which would suggest that TD 2 is crossing the threshold of becoming a minimal tropical storm.


Current Tropical Weather
As of 8 AM EDT Tropical Depression 2 was centered at 30.0 N /78.0 W or 225 miles SSE of Charleston,SC. It was moving NW at about 14 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph (NHC). Pressure was estimated at 1009 mb.

Tropical Weather Forecast:
TD 2 will move toward the coast of South Carolina today and be close to the coast by Sunday morning. It should then gradually lose tropical characteristics even if it doesn't move inland. The latest models have shifted from taking it well inland in South Carolina and now drift it up the coast. It will be near the South Carolina coast into Sunday and North Carolina coast Memorial Day.

The greatest threat at this time would be for the increased threat of rip currents and building surf along the Southeast coast. Heavy rainfall is also likely as bands of heavy rain with gusty winds move into the coastal areas. Models at this time suggest TD 2 developing into a minimal tropical storm.

Tropicast: IR Satellite
Image

Tropicast: Charleston, SC Radar 8 am
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Rich Johnson
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Re: Tropical Depression 2

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Sat May 28, 2016 10:42 am

Saturday Midday Update

TD2 will probably be upgraded today

The Weather Situation
The center of circulation is on the southeast edge of the convection. At this point there may be some gusts to near 40 mph under the convection, but the circulation is still somewhat weak. Some organization may occur as TD 2 heads over the Gulf Stream waters today and tonight.


Current Tropical Weather
As of 11 AM EDT Tropical Depression 2 was centered at 30.3 N /78.5 W or 1955 miles SSE of Charleston,SC. It was moving NW at about 13 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph (NHC). Pressure was estimated at 1009 mb.

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Nothing new from the previous 8 AM forecast


Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Image
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Re: Bonnie

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Sun May 29, 2016 7:53 am

Sunday Morning Update

Bonnie on the South Carolina coast

The Weather Situation
Bonnie was upgraded to a tropical storm 5pm edt Saturday. Winds increased to 45 mph by 11 pm last night. Bonnie is now on the coast and has been downgraded to a tropical depression. The heaviest rainfall is on the west side of the circulation along the Savannah river valley with additional rain north of the low.


Current Tropical Weather
As of 8 AM EDT Tropical Depression Bonnie was centered at 32.7 N /79.6 W or 25 miles ESE of Charleston, SC or 80 miles WSW of Myrtle Beach , SC . It was moving north at about 9 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph (NHC). Pressure was estimated at 1009 mb.

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Bonnie will move north, then northeast along the South Carolina coast today and southeast North Carolina coast on Memorial day. The main threat is continued heavy rainfall.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Image

Tropicast: Charleston, SC Radar 8 am
Image

National Hurricane Center
Official NHC Advisory
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 154.shtml?
Official NHC Track
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.sh ... l#contents
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Re: Bonnie

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Sat Jun 04, 2016 11:24 am

I have been updating Bonnie on my Facebook page the last few days. Yesterday Bonnie was classified as a tropical storm again after moving inland over the eastern Carolinas for a few days. As of 11 am edt today, Bonnie is now again a tropical depression and will move into the open Atlantic well north of Bermuda.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite 1:45pm edt Thursday
Image

Tropicast: Visible Satellite 3:15pm edt Friday
Image

Tropicast: Visible Satellite 11:45am edt Saturday
Image
Rich Johnson
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Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert

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