2011 hurricane season prediction

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2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby Caribbean Traveler » Sat Jan 22, 2011 11:15 am

Here is an excerpt from Colorado State on the 2011 hurricane season outlook:
the prediction is for another above average season, similar to 2010.


ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2011
Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000
Climatology (in parentheses)
8 December 2010
Forecast for 2011
Named Storms (NS) (9.6)
17
Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1)
85
Hurricanes (H) (5.9)
9
Hurricane Days (HD) (24.5)
40
Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3)
5
Major Hurricane Days (MHD) (5.0)
10
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1)
165
Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (100%)
180
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Re: 2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby rmandel » Mon Jan 24, 2011 10:35 am

Great, just what we need - another active hurricane season. I don't think that we'll keep dodging the storms like we did last year. Sooner or later we're going to get another big one. :(

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Re: 2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby Kit Kat » Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:42 pm

Right, eventually the odds will win out. Hopefully not this year though.

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Re: 2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby Florida Beach Gal » Mon Feb 07, 2011 12:51 pm

They update the forecast again before hurricane season starts. It probably won't be much different on the update.

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Re: 2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby nennie0 » Thu Feb 10, 2011 8:21 am

I hope it like the 2010 hurricane season, where there are lots of hurricanes to look at, but with no damage.

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Re: 2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby rmandel » Thu Mar 17, 2011 1:25 pm

nennie0 wrote:I hope it like the 2010 hurricane season, where there are lots of hurricanes to look at, but with no damage.



I'm with you on that one.

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Re: 2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby Ninjaguy » Sun Mar 27, 2011 7:44 pm

Getting closer. Only a few months away.
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Re: 2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby Caribbean Traveler » Thu Apr 21, 2011 9:28 pm

The updated info from the national huricane conference was given by Dr. Phil..... Dr. Gray talked mostly on how hurricane activity is not connected to global warming. The numbers were only revised slightly downward.
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Re: 2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby Florida Beach Gal » Sun Apr 24, 2011 7:33 am

The numbers that I was from the updated forecast were 16 tropical storms of which 9 become hurricanes of which 5 become major hurricanes.

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Re: 2011 hurricane season prediction

Postby rmandel » Tue Apr 26, 2011 6:30 am

The new hurricane forecast is almost the same as the one on the top of the thread.


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