Tuesday Afternoon UpdateTropical depression forming
After slowly organizing, it appears that a new tropicall depression has formed southwest of Cabo San Lucas. Quickscat satellite estimates of earlier today had tropical storm force winds, but not really a closed off low. We now believe that the low is closed off and that a tropical depression has formed. Tropical storm Marty should be classified within the next 12 hours if development continues.
As of 3:00 pm edt / 12:00 pm pdt the tropical disturbance was centered near 18.0° N / 112.5 W or about 365 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph and increasing. It is moving northwest at about 10 mph.
Forecasts generally keep this system a few hundred miles west of the Baja, although a few are closer. Due to the relatively high latitude already, this new system won't have too much time to develop before entering cooler water.Tropicast: Pacific Floater Visible Satellite