Is Juliette forming east of Hawaii?

Tropical cyclone archives of the 2007 eastern and central Pacific hurricane season
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Is Juliette forming east of Hawaii?

Postby Caribbean Traveler » Wed Sep 19, 2007 1:59 am

Wednesday Early AM Update

It is our opinion that a disturbance near 16.5N / 127W (1850 miles e-se of Hilo Hawaii) is not only a depression already, but probably a minimal t.s..

The latest satellite imagery shows impressive convection near and to the west of the circulation center. It is in open waters and there is plenty of time to watch this one. It should be upgraded soon.
Rich Johnson
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Postby Caribbean Traveler » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:46 am

Wednesday Midday Update
We continue to remain baffled as to why the disturbance near 17.5N / 128W or about 1770 miles e-se of Hilo Hawaii has not been classified. It is getting better organized and in our opinion is at least a depression and probably a minimal t.s. Again, it is still a long way from Hawaii and there is plenty of time to watch it.
Rich Johnson
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Postby Caribbean Traveler » Wed Sep 19, 2007 4:43 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

NHC has classified the disturbance as tropical depression 13E this last advisory. We expect this depression to be upgraded to t.s. Juliette as mentioned in early updates. Heavy convection is not as impressive as earlier, but banding looks more organized. In the next couple of days, a trough should begin to shear the system. It will also move over cooler water. With this being the case, (Juliette) should not reach hurricane strength.
Rich Johnson
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Postby Caribbean Traveler » Thu Sep 20, 2007 1:36 am

Thursday Early AM Update
It looks like this is NOT (officially) going to be Juliette. The satellite presentation looked best about 6-12 hours before the system was actually classified as a depression. In our opinion as stated earlier, this was most likely a minimal t.s. for a short while.

Essentially all of the convection has been lost near the center. Do not expect much more out of this system.
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx
Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert


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