The Weather Situation
Tropical Depression 6 is expected to become a tropical storm soon. IR satellite imagery shows heavy rainfall near Guadeloupe and east of the circulation center. Gusts to tropical storm force will be seen in the central lesser antilles tonight.
Current tropical weather
As of 8:00 PM AST Tropical Depression 6 was centered at 14.7 N / 60.1 W or about 90 ESE of Dominica. It was moving WNW at 15 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1010 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Early forecasts take tropical storm Fred across the northern Antilles. It will interact with the islands which will hamper strengthening potential. By the weekend, a turn into the eastern Gulf of Mexico is forecast.
Tropicast: Visible Satellite Monday
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
The Weather Situation
The low level circulation is still not organized enough for the system to be called Fred.
Current tropical weather
As of 5:00 PM AST Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 was centered at 16.9 N / 65.5 W or about 105 miles SE of Ponce, Puerto Rico. It was moving WNW at 17 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1012 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Early forecasts take tropical storm Fred across the northern Antilles. It will interact with the islands which will hamper strengthening potential. By the weekend, a turn into the eastern Gulf of Mexico is forecast.
Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
The Weather Situation
Fred is interacting with Hispaniola and top winds are likely now back below tropical storm force. Fred will restrengthens once it moves back over water.
Current tropical weather
As of 5:00 PM EDT Tropical Storm Fred was centered at 18.9 N / 71.0 W or about 210 miles SE of Great Inagua, Bahamas. It was moving WNW at 15 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 40 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1007 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecasts take tropical storm Fred across Hispaniola and north of Cuba into Friday. It is interacting with Hispaniola which will hamper strengthening potential. By the weekend, a turn into the eastern Gulf of Mexico is forecast.
Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
The Weather Situation
Fred is over water north of eastern Cuba. Deep convection is southeast of the low center.
Current tropical weather
As of 8:00 PM EDT Tropical Depression Fred was centered at 21.3 N / 75.0 W or about 485 miles ESE of Key West, Florida. It was moving WNW at 7 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1012 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecasts take Fred parallel and north of Cuba Friday. It will turn into the eastern Gulf of Mexico Saturday and make landfall on the north Florida coast Sunday.
Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
The Weather Situation
Fred has been over central Cuba today. It drifted farther south than expected. This has allowed the circulation to become very disorganized and drift farther west than expected.
Current tropical weather
As of 8:00 PM EDT Tropical Depression Fred was centered at 22.5 N / 80.2 W or about 175 miles SE of Key West, Florida. It was moving west at 7 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1013 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecasts take Fred into the southeastern Gulf tomorrow and toward north Florida by Monday. It is expected to make landfall as a tropical storm.
Tropicast: Visible Satellite FridayAfternoon
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
The Weather Situation
Fred is over western Cuba and it is very hard to find a circulation center.
Current tropical weather
As of 8:00 AM EDT Tropical Depression Fred was centered at 23.0 N / 82.8 W or about 125 miles SSW of Key West, Florida. It was moving WNW at 13 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1013 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecasts turn Fred northward with minimal strengthening and take it to the NW Florida coast by Monday afternoon.
Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
The Weather Situation
Per the previous update, NHC declared Fred dissipated yesterday afternoon. Satellite imagery had confirmed that the circulation center of Fred did not support a tropical cyclone classification any longer. This morning deep convection is building with two separate centers. Jet stream winds aloft injected some energy into Fred allowing for some strengthening. Even though winds are at tropical storm force, Fred is not a cyclone again yet. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is investigating to see if either center has a low level circulation.
Current tropical weather
As of 8:00 AM EDT Dissipated Fred was centered at 25.3 N / 84.6 W or about 390 miles SSE of Pensacola, Florida. It was moving NNW at 8 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 40 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1009 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecast models reorganize Fred today in the eastern Gulf and bring it ashore on the western panhandle of Florida Monday afternoon. It will make landfall as a tropical storm.
Tropicast: IR Satellite
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
The Weather Situation
Fred will be fighting southwesterly shear during the next 24 hours before landfall. Some additional strengthening is possible.
Current tropical weather
As of 5:00 PM EDT Tropical Storm Fred was centered at 26.8 N / 85.3 W or about 235 miles south of Panama City, Florida. It was moving NNW at 10 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 45 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1009 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Fred will come ashore on the western panhandle of Florida Monday afternoon. It will make landfall as a tropical storm.
Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
The Weather Situation
Fred will be making landfall in a few hours. The heaviest rainfall is north and east of the center of circulation.
Current tropical weather
As of11:00 AM EDT Tropical Storm Fred was centered at 29.2 N / 85.7 W or about 55 miles southwest of Apalachicola, Florida. It was moving north at 10 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 60 mph. Pressure was estimated at 993 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Fred will come ashore on the western panhandle of Florida this afternoon.
Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Tropicast: Tallahassee Radar
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
The Weather Situation
Tropical Depression Fred is over north Georgia. Rainfall amounts of 2-5" was common across the area with heavier amounts in the mountains
Current tropical weather
As of 5:00 PM EDT Tropical Depression Fred was centered at 34.7 N / 83.9 W or about 90 miles WSW of Ashville, NC. It was moving NNE at 23 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 25 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1009 hPa (mb).
Tropical Weather Forecast:
Fred will continue to weaken as it moves toward the Northeastern US.
Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Tropicast: Rainfall Estimate
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
