Monday Morning UpdateBeatriz heading toward Mexico
Deep convection is exploding near Beatriz. The center of circulation is not directly under the center of the low. Because of this strengthening is likely, but not in an explosive way. Coastal areas will expect heavy rain, and winds increasing today with Beatriz coming close to the coast by early tomorrow. Forecast models have shifted more toward the coast through 24 hours, then recurve the tropical cyclone out to sea ( west ) after that.
Beatriz is centered near 16.0 N / 102.8 w or about 245 miles south southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico. Movement is northwest at about 10 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 60 mph / 60 (NHC) mph. Pressure estimated at 997 mb.
Interests on the west coast of Mexico should follow this system. Tropicast: Pacific I.R. SatelliteNational Hurricane CenterOfficial NHC Advisoryhttp://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP2+shtml/201134.shtml?Official NHC Trackhttp://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?5-daynl?large#contentsSatelliteVisible Satellite Imageryhttp://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.htmlI.R. Satellite Imageryhttp://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-avn.html