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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 2:55 am 
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Saturday Early AM Update

Noel's rainbands are just southeast of Long Island and Nantucket

There is little change from the previous discussion. The rain is just offshore of southern New England and will move inland during the morning hours.

New York:
Winds picking up during the morning hours, with the strongest winds during the Saturday afternoon. Some gusts to 40-50 mph. Conditions will deteriorate as you go farther east on Long Island. Look for heavy rain with 1-2" possible. The worst of the conditions will be later Saturday afternoon into the early evening. Winds may gust to near hurricane force at Montauk.

Eastern Massachusettes:
Winds will be at their strongest Saturday afternoon into the evening. Gusts in Boston near 50 mph and 75-85 on the Cape. Winds will start out from the northeast in the morning, north during the afternoon and shift to northwest during the evening. Rain will be heavy with 2-4" with locally higher amounts possible on the Cape. In Boston 1-3" is possible.

Maine:
Winds also shifting from northeast to north to northwest Saturday night. Winds will be stronger in down east Maine with gusts to 75-85 mph. Rainfall totals will range from 1-3".

Landfall still expected on the southern tip of Nova Scotia around midnight Saturday night.

:idea: Remember, powers outages may occur from eastern Long Island, eastern New England, to Nova Scotia. Have resources available!

The next update will be in the late Saturday morning.

:megaphone: Stay out of the waters off of the New England coast today!

NOTE - The last advisory by the National Hurricane Center was at 5 pm EDT Friday.

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 11:37 am 
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Saturday Late Morning Update

Noel's rains and winds spreading inland...

The latest radar indicates rain spreading inland to the northwest across southern New England and Long Island. Winds are picking up out of the northeast with gusts 25-45 mph. Nantucket, MA and Block Island, R.I. have the strongest winds at this time.

There is little change to the forecast. Eastern Massachusetts and down east Maine will get the worst of Noel. Cape Cod, Nantucket, and down east Maine will get wind gusts at or somewhat over minimal hurricane force (74 mph).

The forecast portion of Noel is almost over with. We will be "nowcasting" giving the latest conditions on the northeast coast as we follow coastal storm Noel.

:megaphone: Stay out of the waters off of the New England coast today! Be ready for the possibility of power outages, especially on the New England coast!

NOTE - The last advisory by the National Hurricane Center was at 5 pm EDT Friday.

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 2:59 pm 
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Saturday Mid Afternoon Update

Noel's rains getting heavier, winds stronger...

Winds are now gusting to about 60 mph on the islands of southeast Massachusetts, 40-50 mph on eastern Long Island and 35-40 mph near Boston. Rain has now spread across central and eastern Long Island and generally east of the Connecticut valley. Rain is very heavy at times on the Cape, southern Connecticut and southeastern New Hampshire. Look for conditions to deteriorate through the afternoon in eastern New England.

:megaphone: Stay out of the waters off of the New England coast today! Be ready for the possibility of power outages, especially on the New England coast!

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 3:15 pm 
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One buoy off of the mid-Atlantic coast showing a wave height of 32 feet. Trees and wires down with some power outages in eastern Massachusettes.

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 4:14 pm 
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Saturday Late Afternoon Update

Noel's rains continue getting heavier, winds stronger...


Latest reports:
Boston wind gust to 44 mph
Plymouth wind gust to 58 mph
Martha's Vineyard wind gust to 59 mph
Nantucket sustained at 54 mph, gust to 70 mph
Westhampton Beach, NY gust to 40 mph

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 5:15 pm 
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Saturday Evening Update

Latest reports 6 pm edt:

Boston wind gust to 35 mph, steady rain
Plymouth wind gust to 49 mph
Falmouth wind gust to 56 mph, heavy rain
Martha's Vineyard wind gust to 56 mph, light rain
Nantucket wind gust to 71 mph
Hyannis, wind gust to 60 mph, light rain

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 7:44 pm 
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Saturday Evening Update

Latest reports 7 pm edt:

Boston wind gust to 35 mph, steady rain/heavy rain
Plymouth wind gust to 54 mph, heavy rain
Falmouth wind gust to 59 mph, heavy rain
Martha's Vineyard wind gust to 60 mph, heavy rain
Nantucket wind gust to 71 mph
Hyannis, wind gust to 58 mph, steady rain

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Rich Johnson
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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 8:21 pm 
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Saturday Evening Update

Latest reports 8 pm edt:

Boston wind gust to 35 mph, light rain
Plymouth wind gust to 54 mph, heavy rain
Falmouth wind gust to 59 mph, heavy rain
Martha's Vineyard wind gust to 54 mph, light rain
Nantucket wind gust to 68 mph
Hyannis, wind gust to 60 mph

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Rich Johnson
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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 10:18 pm 
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Saturday Evening Update

Latest reports 10 pm edt:


Martha's Vineyard wind gust to 53 mph
Nantucket wind gust to 56 mph
Bar Harbor gust to 38 mph
Augusta gust to 45 mph

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Rich Johnson
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PostPosted: Sun Nov 04, 2007 9:09 am 
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Sunday Morning Update

We're sorry about any inconvenience of our site being offline recently. Our servers were attacked and were taken down :Taz:

Here is the round-up from Noel:

Top wind gusts (mph):
Massachusettes
91 Horseshoe Shoal (coastal waters)
72 Nantucket
66 Plymouth
65 Martha's Vineyard
44 Boston

North Carolina
63 Ocracoke

Canada(mph):
91 Grand Etang
70 Halifax
75 McNabs Island
78 Baccaro Point

Top rain totals (inches)
Dominican Republic 30" locally, no official totals yet
Haiti, eastern Cuba and the Bahamas also had very heavy rain.
No official totals that we have seen yet.

Massachusettes:
South Yarmouth 4.00
Hyannis 3.52
Nantucket 3.45
Falmouth 3.14

Canada(inches):
Barraco point 2.98
Ingonish Beach 3.71

Landfall was near the southern tip of Nova Scotia a few hours after midnight. High wave height measured by buoy 37'. Up to 33,000 lost power at one point on Cape Cod, MA.

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Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert


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