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Barry

Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2025 6:09 am
by Tropical Inspector
Sunday Morning Update

TD Two
IR satellite this morning shows a mass of clouds which is disorganized over the western Bay of Campeche. It also appears that low level clouds are flowing in a counter clockwise director confirming a circulation.

Hurricane Hunter aircraft show a tiny weak circulation. Winds at flight level have slightly increased to 30-35 knots in a small area at 2500 ft, likely associated with a convection burst. SFMR winds which estimate surface conditions are closer to 20 kts. So this system is definitely below tropical storm strength.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.9N 95.9W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES

Tropicast: IR satellite RAAMB Cira-Slider
Image

Tropical Weather Forecast:
The tropical Depression will move into the eastern Mexico today. It possibly will be named, but the main threat will be heavy rainfall and its effects.

Re: Barry

Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2025 1:38 pm
by Tropical Inspector
Sunday Afternoon Update

Barry classified just before landfall
Airforce reconnaissance has found winds slightly stronger just before making landfall by this evening. Visible satellite shows a burst of deep convection south of the low center, with the low center exposed.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...20.8N 96.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SE OF TAMPICO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

Tropicast: IR satellite RAAMB Cira-Slider
Image

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Barry will move into the eastern Mexico by early this evening. The main threat will be heavy rainfall and its effects.

NHC Advisory
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/M ... 738.shtml?

NHC Track
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... e#contents