Wednesday Midday Update

Victor to be officially named shortly

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery shows banding and a large cluster of convection well south of the Cabo Verde islands. TD20 is likely to be named at 5pm edt.

Official NHC Data
SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...8.3N 24.6W
ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM S OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Victor will strengthen as it moves northwest into the open North Atlantic Ocean.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Thursday Morning Update

Victor strengthening

The Weather Situation
Victor was officially named at 5 pm edt yesterday as expected. Convection has continued to increase as well as banding. Victor will continue on this strengthening trend the next few days.

Official NHC Data
SUMMARY OF 800 AM CVT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...8.7N 27.3W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Victor will strengthen as it moves northwest into the open North Atlantic Ocean. It poses no threat to land for at least the next week.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Friday Morning Update

Victor probably maxed out

The Weather Situation
IR satellite imagery shows that convection is decreasing. This means that the strengthening trend has ended.

Official NHC Data
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 32.3W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHESS

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Victor now slowly weaken as it moves northwest into the open North Atlantic Ocean. It poses no threat to land for at least the next week.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Saturday Morning Update

Victor much weaker

The Weather Situation
Satellite imagery shows that the convection with Victor is almost gone. IMO, the official 50 mph by NHC is overdone. I estimate 40 mph max and likely less than that.

Official NHC Data
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.8N 36.3W
ABOUT 850 MI...1370 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Victor will be officially declared extratropical within the next 24 hours.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite