Tuesday Morning Update

Paulette over open waters

The Weather Situation
Paulette has moved well away from Bermuda. It is now only affecting the shipping lands of the northern North Atlantic ocean.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 5:00 AM AST Hurricane Paulette was centered at 37.0 N / 60.5 W or about 405 miles NE of Bermuda. It was moving NE 20 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 105 mph. Pressure was estimated at 965 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecast models take Paulette rapidly northeast into the open north Atlantic.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Tuesday Evening Update

Paulette becoming extratropical

The Weather Situation
Paulette is moving over colder waters and will become extratropical during the next 24 -36 hours.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Current tropical weather
As of 5:00 PM AST Hurricane Paulette was centered at 39.5 N / 55.0 W or about 740 miles NE of Bermuda. It was moving ENE 30 mph. Officially top sustained winds are estimated at 100 mph. Pressure was estimated at 970 hPa (mb).

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Forecast models take Paulette rapidly northeast into the open north Atlantic and make it extratropical. I will then recurve south around a ridge of high pressure after Thursday.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Wednesday Late Morning Update

Paulette extratropical

The Weather Situation
Paulette is extratropical. A large area of smoke from the western U.S. fires is clearly visible "following" the hurricane. It is predicted to move south into warmer waters over the next several days. It's possible that Paulette could become subtropical / tropical in the future.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Sunday Morning Update

Paulette may make a comeback

The Weather Situation
Paulette is south of the Azores. It may regain some tropical characteristics over the next few days.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Monday Evening Update

Paulette looks to be a Subtropical depression

The Weather Situation
Paulette will be called subtropical soon.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Tuesday Morning Update

Paulette looks weaker again

The Weather Situation
Paulette was renamed a tropical storm. IMO, it is already a depression again as convection has been stripped from the circulation. NHC says it is expected to drift east then move west and weaken. It already looks to have weakened.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Paulette loses convection

The Weather Situation
IMO Paulette is now a tropical depression that will soon be a remnant low. I expect NHC to downgrade soon.

For more frequent updates: Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Tropicast: Visible Satellite 9/25


Tropicast: Visible Satellite 9/26