Tuesday Evening Update

Sergio strengthens rapidly

The Weather Situation
Sergio is a major hurricane. At this time no appreciable effects are being felt in western Mexico except for possible larger than normal sea swell.

Current Tropical Weather
As of 2 PM PDT Sergio was centered at 11.2 N / 115.1 W or 875 miles SSW of the southern tip of the Baja. It was moving west at 13 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 115 mph. Pressure was estimated at 965 mb.

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Sergio will move WNW staying well west of Mexico the next several days.


Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Wednesday Evening Update

Sergio well SW of Mexico

The Weather Situation
Sergio has strengthened some over the past 24 hours, but is well out to sea.

Current Tropical Weather
As of 2 PM PDT Sergio was centered at 13.3 N / 117.9 W or 845 miles SW of the southern tip of the Baja. It was moving NW at 9 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 125 mph. Pressure was estimated at 955 mb.

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Sergio is well SW of Mexico and will not be a threat over the next several days.


Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Thursday Evening



Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Friday Evening

Sergio down to 120 mph. It is expected to make a clockwise turn toward the Baja by late next week. It will be much weaker by that time.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Saturday Afternoon

Sergio at 125 mph. It is expected to make a clockwise turn toward the Baja by late next week. It will be much weaker by that time.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Sunday Evening

Sergio at 100 mph. It is starting to make a clockwise turn. It will move toward the Baja by late this week. It will be much weaker by that time.

Tropicast: Visible AM Satellite


Tropicast: Visible PM Satellite

Monday Morning

Sergio is at 90 mph. It is making a clockwise turn and is predicted to be near the central Baja as a tropical storm by Thursday night.

Tropicast: IR Satellite

Tuesday Morning update

Sergio is at 85 mph. It has a massive center of circulation and may actually be a bit weaker IMO. It is predicted to be near the central Baja as a tropical storm by Thursday night.

Tropicast: Monday PM Visible Satellite


Tropicast: Tuesday AM IR Satellite

Tuesday Evening Update

Sergio is at 70 mph. NHC downgraded as expected. It is predicted to be near the central Baja as a tropical storm by Friday.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Wednesday Evening Update

Sergio is at 65 mph. It is predicted to be near the central Baja as a tropical storm by late tomorrow evening.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Thursday Evening Update

Sergio is at 60 mph. It will be moving into the central Baja overnight tonight. Heavy rainfall causing flash flooding is possible.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite