Sunday Evening Update

TD 4 forms

The Weather Situation
A new tropical depression has formed just east of the Mexican coast over the northwestern Bay of Campeche / southwestern Gulf of Mexico. It will have a short lifespan as it will move inland tomorrow.


Current Tropical Weather
As of 5 PM EDT Tropical Depression 4 was centered at 19.9 N /94.7 W or 190 ESE of Tuxpan. It was moving west at about 8 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 35 mph (NHC). Pressure was estimated at 1009 mb.

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Tropical depression 4 will encounter weaker shear as it moves westward. This will give it a brief window to become a minimal tropical storm by landfall around midday Monday. The main threat will be heavy rainfall over northeastern Mexico.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite

Monday Morning Update

Danielle forms, moving inland soon

The Weather Situation
An air force recon found that winds have strengthened sufficiently to name the tropical depression. There may be a minor increase to tides north of the landfall location.


Current Tropical Weather
As of 8 AM EDT Tropical Storm Danielle was centered at 20.6 N /96.0 W or 95 ESE of Tuxpan. It was moving WNW at about 7 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 40 mph. Pressure was estimated at 1008 mb.

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Danielle will be moving inland into Mexico this afternoon which will stop strengthening. Heavy rainfall of more than 5 inches is possible with localize flash flooding.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite