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T.D. 15

Posted: Thu Oct 11, 2007 8:32 pm
by Caribbean Traveler
Thursday Evening Update

It looks like a disturbance developed on a front in the middle of the Atlantic and gained tropical characteristics.

NHC named a disturbance more than 800 miles east of Bermuda a depression a little earlier this evening. Winds are shearing it and it probably does not have a long life span. It was the right call by NHC. It appears that this is one of those depressions that has <24 hours to live.

Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2007 2:11 am
by Caribbean Traveler
Friday Early AM Update
The depression is about 900 miles east of Bermuda.
Forecast models are now picking up this system east of the front. It is no harm to anyone at this point and probably never will be. Convection is still trying to hold on the east side of the depressions circulation. It will be a battle of shear to see if it can last more than another day at depression status.

Posted: Fri Oct 12, 2007 4:11 pm
by Caribbean Traveler
Friday Evening Update
The depression has lost almost all of its convection. The shear has wiped it out. The low level cloud swirl is still very apparent on the visible satellite loop. NHC has written its last public advisory. Unless something dramatic happens, this will be our last update too.