Jerry

[Tropical Inspector]

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Jerry will be a threat to the Leewards
Jerry is organizing today with a strong core of convection developing.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.5N 44.6W
ABOUT 1315 MI...2120 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

Tropicast: RAMMB/CIRA slider GOES 19 Visible Satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Jerry will move to just NE of the NE Leewards by a few days. After Thursday it will turn northward into the central North Atlantic.

Interests in the Leewards should make necessary preparations and follow the track and strength of Jerry.

[Tropical Inspector]

Wednesday Midday Update

Tropical storm watches for parts of the Leewards
Jerry is fighting shear, but has a significant area of deep convection which has been expanding.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 52.7W
ABOUT 750 MI...1210 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

Tropicast: RAMMB/CIRA slider GOES 19 Visible Satellite


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Jerry will move to near or just NE of the NE Leewards by Thursday evening. After Thursday it will turn northward into the central North Atlantic.

Interests in the Leewards should make necessary preparations and follow the track and strength of Jerry.

[Tropical Inspector]

Friday Morning Update

Jerry centered north of the NE Leewards
Jerry has weakened, but heavy rainfall is moving through the Lesser Antilles with it. The heaviest rainfall currently is over the Leewards. The center of the low is north of the Leewards, but the heavy convection is elongated well to the south.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 63.3W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM N OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

Tropicast: RAMMB/CIRA slider GOES 19 Visible Satellite Friday Morning


Tropicast: RAMMB/CIRA slider GOES 19 Visible Satellite Thursday Afternoon



Tropicast: Martinique Leeward Radar Early Friday Morning


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Jerry will continue moving away to the north from the Leewards later this evening into the central North Atlantic.

[Tropical Inspector]

Friday Late Afternoon Update

Jerry continues to bring heavy showers
Jerry is a poorly organized low north of the Leewards. Despite this heavy showers have continued today south of the low into the Leeward Islands.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 63.6W
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM N OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

Tropicast: RAMMB/CIRA slider GOES 19 Visible Satellite Friday Late Afternoon


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Jerry will continue moving away to the north from the Leewards this evening into the central North Atlantic.

[Tropical Inspector]

Saturday Late Morning Update

Heavy showers remain near the Virgin Islands
Jerry is moving well north of the Virgin Islands into the open Atlantic. A "tail" of heavy showers remains over the Virgin Islands and will likely continue through today. Rainfall estimates of 5-10" has been recorded. The heaviest rainfall has been on the south shore of Vieques east of Puerto Rico and to western St. Thomas.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 63.2W
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

Tropicast: RAMMB/CIRA slider GOES 19 Visible Satellite


Tropicast: Puerto Rico Radar (GR Level 3) 10:46 am EDT


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Jerry will continue moving away to the north, then northeast from the Leewards and SE of Bermuda as it becomes extratropical soon.

Official NHC Advisory
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/M ... 455.shtml?

Official NHC Track
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... e#contents