Ernesto

[Tropical Inspector]

Tuesday Morning Update
Ernesto near the Leewards

Ernesto is a minimal tropical storm near the Leewards. Visible satellite imagery shows a solid central dense overcast with banding, indicating increasing organization.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 61.9W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NW OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAAMB CIRA Slider


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Ernesto is forecast to turn north away from the Leewards and east of the Bahamas. Bermuda may see impacts this weekend. Strengthening is expected with Ernesto

[Tropical Inspector]

Wednesday Morning Update
Ernesto moving away from Puerto Rico

Ernesto is continuing to produce very heavy rainfall over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. The center of circulation is now well NNW of Puerto Rico and an eyewall is forming, so hurricane strength should be expected soon.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 67.2W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAAMB CIRA Slider


Puerto Rico Radar - GR Level 3


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Ernesto is moving away from Puerto Rico and east of the Bahamas. It is forecast near Bermuda late Friday / early Saturday.

[Tropical Inspector]

Thursday Afternoon Update
Ernesto fighting dry air

Satellite imagery shows dry air being ingested toward the center of Ernesto. This has resulted in a pause in strengthening. Some further strengthening is expected when Ernesto enters a moister environment.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.4N 69.3W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAAMB CIRA Slider


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Ernesto continues to be forecast near Bermuda late Friday / early Saturday. Interests in Bermuda should prepare accordingly.

[Tropical Inspector]

Friday Morning Update
Moving toward Bermuda

Satellite imagery is still showing dry air to the west of Ernesto, but the eyewall is closed off allowing for some strengthening. The deepest convection is near the eye and to the northeast.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 66.5W
ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAAMB CIRA Slider


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Ernesto continues to be forecast near Bermuda late Friday / well into Saturday. Interests in Bermuda should prepare accordingly.

[Tropical Inspector]

Saturday Morning Update
Ernesto passes over Bermuda

Ernesto is just north of Bermuda after just passing over the islands, Skies will clear some as dry air is wrapping in on the southwestern side of the hurricane. The strongest sustained winds were several hours ago at 73 mph. Gusts were measured up to 84 mph.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.6N 64.6W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAAMB CIRA Slider


Tropicast: Bermuda Radar


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Ernesto will continue away from Bermuda today and possibly affect eastern Newfoundland as a north Atlantic gale as Ernesto loses tropical characteristics.

[Tropical Inspector]

Sunday Morning Update
Ernesto organizing some

Tropical Storm Ernesto is gaining some deeper convection near the center of circulation again, although it is not impressive as it heads toward cooler water. Dry air is now not a factor inhibiting the stucture seen the last few days.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.1N 62.5W
ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 880 MI...1410 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAAMB CIRA Slider Saturday afternoon


Tropicast: Visible Satellite RAAMB CIRA Slider Sunday afternoon


Tropical Weather Forecast:
Ernesto may briefly become a hurricane again before becoming extratropical by later Monday southeast of Newfoundland, Canada.