Ophelia

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Ophelia

Post by Tropical Inspector »

Friday Morning Update

TD 16 south of the NC coast
TD 16 will bring tropical storm force winds to the NC coast, as well as heavy rainfall from North Carolina to Maryland to the Southern New England coast. Surge of 1-4 ft is possible.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.3N 75.3W
ABOUT 250 MI...465 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 245 MI...450 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible satellite
Image

Tropical Weather Forecast:
TD 16 will be a storm at landfall early tomorrow morning. Most of the effects will be later this afternoon and tonight on the NC coast.
Rich Johnson
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Re: Ophelia

Post by Tropical Inspector »

Friday Night Update

Ophelia will reach the NC coast tomorrow morning
Ophelia has produced 2+ inches of rainfall over northeast North Carolina. Other areas have received 1/2" to 1" over eastern NC. The highest winds over land are in the 25-35 mph range in gusts. The recon found a wind of just under 70 mph so we think NHC has the winds too high for sustained. We believe sustained are 55-60 mph with gusts to possibly 70 mph.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.3N 76.6W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ESE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible satellite
Image

Tropicast: Visible satellite
Image

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Ophelia will make landfall early Saturday morning. The highest surge will be tonight on the sounds of North Carolina where water could rise 3-5 ft. Check you local emergency management for details.

NHC Public Advisory
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/M ... 348.shtml?

NHC Track
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... e#contents
Rich Johnson
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Re: Ophelia

Post by Tropical Inspector »

Saturday Morning Update

Ophelia inland
Ophelia has made landfall at Emerald Isle, NC at 6:20 am edt. Winds generally have been in the 25-35 mph onshore with the highest gusts so far of 53 mph near Morehead City, NC. Sustained winds there were 43 mph at the time. Another wind report from Cape Lookout, NC earlier reported winds at 61 mph with a gust to 73 mph. Winds offshore were considerably below the official 70 mph estimated. The strongest winds were 54 mph at buoy 41037 with a gust to 83 mph. Per definition, official winds are considered surface sustained. No reports of surge conditions are available at this time.

The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.1N 77.0W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM NE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible satellite
Image

Tropicast: Eastern North Carolina Radar 7am edt
Image

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Ophelia will continue to spread heavy rainfall over the Mid-Atlantic for the next few days, especially today into early Sunday.
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx
Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
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