Karl

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Karl

Post by Tropical Inspector »

Tuesday Evening Update

Karl forms in the Bay of Campeche
A very large area of convection exists in the SW Gulf of Mexico and Bay of Campeche. Enough rotation is evident combined with winds to now classify this as a tropical storm.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 94.4W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Image

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Karl will drift northwest before being pushed west into northeastern Mexico as high pressure builds to the north. The greatest threat at this time is heavy rainfall that can produce flash flooding.
Rich Johnson
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Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
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Re: Karl

Post by Tropical Inspector »

Wednesday Evening Update

Karl moving south
Karl is being affected by westerly wind shear. Deep convection is most prominent to the east of the circulation center.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 94.2W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM N OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 030 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite
Image

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Karl is now expected to move south across the Bay of Campeche as a high pressure system builds to the northwest. The greatest threat at this time is heavy rainfall that can produce flash flooding.
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx
Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
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Tropical Inspector
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Re: Karl

Post by Tropical Inspector »

Thursday Evening Update

Karl weaker
Karl is weakening as it continues to battle wind shear.


The Weather Situation
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 93.1W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NNE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 155 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

Tropicast: Visible Satellite Thursday Afternoon
Image

Tropical Weather Forecast:
Karl will make landfall Friday as tropical storm or depression on the south side of the Bay of Campeche. Heavy rainfall is the main threat.
Rich Johnson
Twitter: https://twitter.com/richjohnsonwx
Certified Broadcast Meteorologist - Hurricane Expert
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