Sunday Early AM Update
Well, it looks like NHC read our previous post!

They have shifted their track south so that it stays just south of the Bay of Campeche over the next couple of days. The latest satellite imagery shows that the center of circulation has almost not moved since the last update. Arthur is still meandering in extreme northwest Belize at minimal tropical storm strength (40 mph). NHC's assessment looks good with squalls , no doubt that strong east of Belize. Notice the two circled areas. These are the zones of the heaviest rain. One is over the Mexican states of Tabasco and Chiapas and the other north of Roatan to east of the Belize coast.
There is not much change in the models. Arthur should become a depression and wander around southern Mexico for a few days. Flash flooding is the biggest threat. Some sort of tropical moisture surge is still forecast to move into the Gulf later in the week.
TropicalWeather.net's Tropicast:
