2011 hurricane season prediction

[Caribbean Traveler]

Here is an excerpt from Colorado State on the 2011 hurricane season outlook:
the prediction is for another above average season, similar to 2010.


ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2011
Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000
Climatology (in parentheses)
8 December 2010
Forecast for 2011
Named Storms (NS) (9.6)
17
Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1)
85
Hurricanes (H) (5.9)
9
Hurricane Days (HD) (24.5)
40
Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3)
5
Major Hurricane Days (MHD) (5.0)
10
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1)
165
Net Tropical Cyclone Activity (NTC) (100%)
180

[rmandel]

Great, just what we need - another active hurricane season. I don't think that we'll keep dodging the storms like we did last year. Sooner or later we're going to get another big one.

[Kit Kat]

Right, eventually the odds will win out. Hopefully not this year though.

[Florida Beach Gal]

They update the forecast again before hurricane season starts. It probably won't be much different on the update.

[nennie0]

I hope it like the 2010 hurricane season, where there are lots of hurricanes to look at, but with no damage.

[rmandel]

I hope it like the 2010 hurricane season, where there are lots of hurricanes to look at, but with no damage.

I'm with you on that one.

[Ninjaguy]

Getting closer. Only a few months away.

[Caribbean Traveler]

The updated info from the national huricane conference was given by Dr. Phil..... Dr. Gray talked mostly on how hurricane activity is not connected to global warming. The numbers were only revised slightly downward.

[Florida Beach Gal]

The numbers that I was from the updated forecast were 16 tropical storms of which 9 become hurricanes of which 5 become major hurricanes.

[rmandel]

The new hurricane forecast is almost the same as the one on the top of the thread.