Updated 2010 hurricane season forecast

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Updated 2010 hurricane season forecast

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Wed Apr 07, 2010 2:33 pm

The Colorado St. University team of Dr. Bill Gray and Dr. Phil Klotzbach has updated their forecast for the 2010 hurricane season.....

15 tropical storms
8 hurricanes
4 major hurricanes.

This compares to the long term average of 10 tropical storms of which 6 become hurricanes and 3 of those major.

El Nino is dissipating and warmer than average sea surface tuemperatures was their explaination for an above average season.
Rich Johnson
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Re: Updated 2010 hurricane season forecast

Post by Florida Beach Gal » Sun Apr 11, 2010 12:23 pm

I hope that an active season doesn't mean any landfalls...especially in North Carolina! :huh:

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Re: Updated 2010 hurricane season forecast

Post by Martin » Mon Apr 12, 2010 5:18 pm

I am curious to see how the weakening of El Nino affects this season. Last year nothing had a chance with that shear.

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Re: Updated 2010 hurricane season forecast

Post by Florida Beach Gal » Tue Apr 13, 2010 12:24 pm

Martin wrote:I am curious to see how the weakening of El Nino affects this season. Last year nothing had a chance with that shear.
I have a feeling that well see a difference from last year. Hopefully no landfalls though.

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Re: Updated 2010 hurricane season forecast

Post by Caribbean Traveler » Thu Apr 15, 2010 4:44 am

You would certainly think that with El Nino gone, there will be an upswing in tropical cyclone activity this season. You don't need advanced computers for that. Will one (or more) hit the U.S.? That is a question which is considerably harder to answer.
Rich Johnson
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