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Important changes for the 2010 Hurricane season

Posted: Sun Feb 21, 2010 2:15 pm
by Caribbean Traveler
Several very important changes will occur with this 2010 hurricane season. The Saffir-Simpson scale will become the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Why the change? The hurricane center is decoupling storm surge parameters with a certain category hurricane. Depending on it's wind field size a similar hurricane can have a much larger or smaller storm surge associated with it. This is a great move by the hurricane center. The second important change is connnected with the lead time of watches and warnings. Previously, tropical storm / hurricane watches were posted with 36 hours of lead time. That changes to 48 hours this hurricane season. Tropical storm / hurricane warnings previously gave 24 hours of lead time. That now changes to 36 hours. It will be very interesting to see how this plays out. The public will be warned earlier, but will this lead to more false alarms?

For a complete list of the changes visit the national hurricane center website: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/nhc_new_2010.pdf

Re: Important changes for the 2010 Hurricane season

Posted: Sun Feb 28, 2010 1:14 pm
by Ninjaguy
I have a feeling that people are going to get ticked when the forecast goes bad. Add an extra twelve hours for evacuations? I'm making the call, bad idea. If it's looking like a bad storm, people leave anyway.

Re: Important changes for the 2010 Hurricane season

Posted: Tue Mar 02, 2010 2:16 pm
by Wild Banshe
ninjaguy89 wrote:I have a feeling that people are going to get ticked when the forecast goes bad. Add an extra twelve hours for evacuations? I'm making the call, bad idea. If it's looking like a bad storm, people leave anyway.

Ninja, may have a point. I wonder if there are any statistics of error increase the farther out the forecast is made?

Re: Important changes for the 2010 Hurricane season

Posted: Wed Mar 03, 2010 7:39 pm
by Florida Beach Gal
Wild Banshe wrote:
ninjaguy89 wrote:I have a feeling that people are going to get ticked when the forecast goes bad. Add an extra twelve hours for evacuations? I'm making the call, bad idea. If it's looking like a bad storm, people leave anyway.

Ninja, may have a point. I wonder if there are any statistics of error increase the farther out the forecast is made?
That would seem reasonable.....

Re: Important changes for the 2010 Hurricane season

Posted: Mon Mar 08, 2010 10:52 am
by Mr. B
I would reserve judgement on this until we see how it works. I would guess that the folks in charge have done plenty of research before implementing this.

Re: Important changes for the 2010 Hurricane season

Posted: Mon Apr 05, 2010 1:13 pm
by Ninjaguy
Mr. B wrote:I would reserve judgement on this until we see how it works. I would guess that the folks in charge have done plenty of research before implementing this.

Pie in the sky. When does the government think before acting? :mrgreen: