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12 E

Posted: Wed Oct 12, 2011 7:01 am
by Tropical Inspector
Wednesday Morning Update

12 E (Kenneth) in Gulf of Tehuantepec

The tropical disturbance that has been offshore for days has quickly organized overnight into tropical storm Kenneth (unofficially) Deep convection has increased enough to say that 12 E should be classifiend as a tropical storm. It will move inland this evening in southern Mexico which will halt strengthening.

As of 8 am edt / 5 am pdt Kenneth (12 E) was centered near 15.2 N / 93.5 W or about 125 miles se of Salina Cruz, Mexico. Movement is north at about 5 mph. Top sustained winds are estimated at 40 mph (NHC 35 mph earlier advisory). Pressure is estimated at 1002 mb.

Forecast:
Kenneth will have a short life span as it is forecast to move north and be inland in about 12-18 hours in southern Mexico.

Tropicast: Pacific IR Satellite
Image

Re: 12 E

Posted: Wed Oct 12, 2011 3:00 pm
by Tropical Inspector
12 E has moved inland. It appeared that there was sufficient data to classify 12 E as a minimal tropical storm this morning. It is now weakening over land.