Nate classified in Bay of Campeche
Hurricane Hunter aircraft along with oil rig reports show that a closed circulation has developed. Winds of tropical storm strength were found by the Hurricane Hunter. Nate is expected to become a hurricane.
At 8 pm edt / 7 pm cdt Nate was centered at 20.4 N / 92.6 W or about 140 west of Campeche, Mexico. Top sustained winds estimated at 45 mph (NHC 45 mph last advisory). Movement: stationary. Pressure estimated at 1003 mb.
Forecast:
Forecasts show steering currents remaining weak for the next couple of days. This will allow for Nate to stay in the Bay of Campeche. After this a general drift to the west into Mexico is expected. The hurricane center's cone of uncertainty is almost circular later in the period. This essentially means they have little confidence in the track.

Tropicast: Visible Satellite
