Fay is producing widespread heavy rainfall
Fay is north-northwest of Lake Okeechobee by about 20 miles, just north of Basinger, FL. It continues to look very organized, not doubt helped by moving over the Everglades and in the path of very wet ground. Rainfall amounts have been the heaviest near and southeast of a line from Melbourne to Sebring to Ft. Myers. A general 2-6" rainfall has occurred southeast of this line down to the Keys with isolated 10"+ amounts. No doubt, a huge help for a very dry area.
The forecast models are still calling for a track off of the Space coast then turning back west either in north Florida or south Georgia by later Thursday or Friday. NHC has hurricane advisories up for the 1st coast of Florida. We agree since Fay has kept its structure extremely well. It is likely to become a hurricane off of Cape Canaveral. On its present course, Fay may actually move offshore just south of Cape Canaveral near Melbourne. The couple of models that we've followed have done extremely well, pointing out this present scenario about 1 1/2 days ago. Those couple of models are making us look good.

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