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Posted: Sun Sep 23, 2007 8:20 am
by Caribbean Traveler
Sunday Morning Update

Tropical depression 11 has formed in the northern Atlantic and will likely be upgraded to Jerry either later this morning or this afternoon. NHC is simply waiting for the convection to wrap more around the center. When it is named it will be another one of those "Are they going to call it tropical or subtropical" situations again. Since it has formed from an upper low, it's possible NHC may start it off as subtropical.

Don't worry about this one. It will not affect the U.S., Bermuda, or the Caribbean. It is a little of 1000 miles from the Azores and is only a threat to the northern Atlantic.

Posted: Sun Sep 23, 2007 10:36 am
by Caribbean Traveler
Sunday Late Morning Update

NHC upgraded T.D. 10 to Subtropical storm Jerry at the 11am edt advisory. Jerry will have a short life as it moves north-northeast well west of the Azores and becomes extratropical. Jerry will only be a concern to shipping in the Northern Atlantic.

Posted: Sun Sep 23, 2007 7:40 pm
by Caribbean Traveler
Sunday Evening Update

Jerry will slowly continue north over the open waters of the north Atlantic. NHC says Jerry is becoming more tropical and has it forecast becoming tropical late Sunday night or early Monday morning. It still looks more subtropical to us with very little convection near the core circulation. Jerry should become extratropical as it moves over cooler water to the north.

Posted: Mon Sep 24, 2007 8:35 am
by Caribbean Traveler
Monday Morning Update

Jerry became tropical overnight as per NHC. The visible satellite imagery shows convection far to the northeast of the center and just a little to the southeast. The center of circulation looks more like a weak cloud swirl. NHC is going to make Jerry extratropical later today or by this evening. This will be the last update on Jerry.